Union Bresciavs
PRO Vercelli
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/9/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Union Brescia 1-0 PRO Vercelli, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Brescia 2-0 PRO Vercelli
Original prediction
Union Brescia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 66.8% | 61.1% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.5% | 23.9% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 7.10 | 12.7% | 15.0% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Projected Score
Union Brescia 1–0 PRO Vercelli
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80