Union Bresciavs
Pergolettese
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 1/10/2027, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Brescia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60