Union Bresciavs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/4/2025, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Brescia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pergolettese are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20