Union Bresciavs
Novara
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/25/2025, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Brescia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Novara are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80