GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/7/2025, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Union Brescia are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lumezzane are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 50.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Brescia

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union BresciaDWDDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LumezzaneDWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Union BresciaLumezzane
43.0Attack43.0
78.9Defence57.9
60.5Form46.5
62.2Power50.8
1.20xG0.55
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