Union Bresciavs
Lecco
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/28/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Brescia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lecco are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00