Union Bresciavs
Giana Erminio
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 9/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Brescia 5-2 Giana Erminio
Original prediction
Union Brescia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.2% | 46.9% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.2% | 26.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 5.78 | 15.6% | 26.2% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60