Union Bresciavs
Dolomiti Bellunesi
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/27/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Union Brescia 1-0 Dolomiti Bellunesi, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Brescia 1-1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Original prediction
Union Brescia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.2% | 51.4% | -16.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.3% | 28.2% | 6.9 pts |
| Away | 8.54 | 10.6% | 20.4% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.7 pts
Projected Score
Union Brescia 1–0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00