Union Bresciavs
Athletic Carpi
SCHEDULEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 8/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Brescia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Union Brescia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Athletic Carpi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Union Brescia holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Union Brescia
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
19.3%
Union Brescia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20