Union Berlin Wvs
RB Leipzig W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 9/20/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Berlin W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Berlin W 3-2 RB Leipzig W
Original prediction
Union Berlin W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.2% | 37.2% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.1% | 25.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.7% | 37.0% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Union Berlin W
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Union Berlin W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20