Union Berlin Wvs
Nürnberg W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Berlin W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Berlin W 2-1 Nürnberg W
Original prediction
Union Berlin W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.1% | 52.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.6% | 21.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 22.3% | 25.8% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Union Berlin W
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Union Berlin W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40