Union Berlinvs
Eintracht Frankfurt
COMPLETEDGermany · Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eintracht Frankfurt · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Union Berlin 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
Original prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 36.8% | 26.7% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.8% | 23.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 36.4% | 49.4% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Eintracht Frankfurt
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60