Union Berlinvs
Aris
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Union Berlin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aris are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and aris hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.6% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.7%
Model confidence
10.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00