GGOALVIO

Union Berlin logoUnion BerlinvsAris logoAris

COMPLETED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Union Berlin 3-2 Aris

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.7%

Model confidence

10.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Union BerlinWWDLL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ArisLDWWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Union BerlinAris
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power50.0
1.65xG1.79
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