União São Joãovs
Juventus
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Paulista · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: União São João 0-0 Juventus, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
União São João 1-0 Juventus
Original prediction
Juventus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.5% | 31.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.5% | 30.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.0% | 37.9% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
União São João 0–0 Juventus
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Juventus
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Juventus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
União São JoãoLWDDD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
JuventusWLDLW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
União São JoãoJuventus
41.7Attack61.1
66.7Defence72.2
45.8Form55.6
52.8Power61.4
0.89xG1.06