União São JoãovsBandeirante SP

COMPLETED

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

União São João · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: União São João 0-0 Bandeirante SP, with an exact score probability of 26%.

Final result

União São João 3-0 Bandeirante SP

Original prediction

União São João

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.06	44.0%	39.3%	-4.7 pts
Draw	2.94	30.8%	33.0%	2.3 pts
Away	3.58	25.3%	27.6%	2.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.7 pts

Projected Score

União São João 0–0 Bandeirante SP

Exact score probability: 26%

Predicted outcome

União São João

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

União São João has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

União São JoãoDDDWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5

Bandeirante SPLWDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5

União São JoãoBandeirante SP

33.3Attack27.8

72.2Defence72.2

44.4Form44.4

53.4Power50.2

0.80xG0.61