União Santarémvs
Merelinense
COMPLETEDPortugal · Taça de Portugal · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merelinense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
União Santarém 5-0 Merelinense
Original prediction
Merelinense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Merelinense
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Merelinense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
União SantarémWLLDL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MerelinenseW
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
União SantarémMerelinense
100.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
56.3Power88.7
1.72xG1.81