Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 31 July 202619:00Updated today
União Santarém

União Santarém

Home
D
vs
19:00
Academica

Academica

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Academica33%
União Santarém33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
União Santarém
33%
Draw
33%
Academica
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
União Santarém
73
Academica
94
Defence
União Santarém
27
Academica
91
Momentum
União Santarém
33
Academica
100
Danger (xG)
União Santarém
1.80
Academica
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (União Santarém)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Academica)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (União Santarém)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Academica)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
União SantarémUnião Santarém
D
AcademicaAcademica
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
União Santarém33%
Draw33%
Academica33%

Academica leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

União Santarém head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (D), while Academica arrive in mixed form (W). União Santarém have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Academica over 1 games.

Tactically, Academica hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable União Santarém defence (27/100), while União Santarém's attack faces a watertight Academica backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

União Santarém have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Academica have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between União Santarém and Academica in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: União Santarém 3333%, Draw 3333%, Academica 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

União Santarém

União Santarém

D
vs Varzim
16 May 2026
22
Academica

Academica

W
vs Trofense
16 May 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win União Santarém vs Academica?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs Academica?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in União Santarém vs Academica?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in União Santarém vs Academica?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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