GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Capital Brasilia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

União Rondonópolis are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Capital Brasilia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Capital Brasilia hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 69.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Serie D, while Capital Brasilia holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Capital Brasilia

Probability

69.2%

Model confidence

16.4%

Capital Brasilia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

União RondonópolisLWDLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Capital BrasiliaLDLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
União RondonópolisCapital Brasilia
36.7Attack52.4
40.0Defence81.0
30.0Form71.4
38.3Power69.0
0.52xG1.89
View match centre →