GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paranaense - 3 · 8/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

União PR · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

União PR are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Campo Mourão are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and União PR hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Paranaense - 3, while União PR holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

União PR

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

9.6%

União PR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

União PRDWWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Campo MourãoDLLLD

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
União PRCampo Mourão
66.7Attack75.0
50.0Defence37.5
66.7Form41.7
64.8Power49.7
1.99xG1.67
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