União Leiria U23vs
Torreense U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
União Leiria U23 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
União Leiria U23 0-2 Torreense U23
Original prediction
União Leiria U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.2% | 37.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.9% | 28.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.9% | 34.1% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
União Leiria U23
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
União Leiria U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40