União Lamasvs
Camacha
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
União Lamas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
União Lamas 0-3 Camacha
Original prediction
União Lamas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.8% | 36.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.9% | 30.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.3% | 32.6% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
União Lamas
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
União Lamas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20