GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/19/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

União de Leiria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

União de Leiria are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Benfica B are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.0 against 49.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Segunda Liga, while União de Leiria holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

União de Leiria

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

União de Leiria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

União de LeiriaDWL

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
Benfica BWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.67/2.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
União de LeiriaBenfica B
43.1Attack47.1
60.8Defence52.9
41.2Form44.1
49.0Power49.8
1.30xG1.01
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