União de Leiriavs
Academica
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 10/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
União de Leiria · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
União de Leiria 0-2 Academica
Original prediction
União de Leiria
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.9% | 50.8% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.3% | 25.3% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.8% | 23.9% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
União de Leiria
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
União de Leiria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00