Unión Santa Fe Res.vs
Vélez Sársfield Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Unión Santa Fe Res. 0-1 Vélez Sársfield Res., with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Unión Santa Fe Res. 0-0 Vélez Sársfield Res.
Original prediction
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.30 | 27.2% | 25.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.2% | 30.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.6% | 44.5% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Unión Santa Fe Res. 0–1 Vélez Sársfield Res.
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40