GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/26/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Unión Santa Fe Res. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while River Plate Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and River Plate Res. hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unión Santa Fe Res.DWDDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
River Plate Res.WLWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Unión Santa Fe Res.River Plate Res.
36.4Attack45.3
69.7Defence72.0
50.0Form57.3
53.8Power59.1
0.64xG0.76
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