GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unión Santa Fe Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Unión Santa Fe Res. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Colón Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Unión Santa Fe Res. hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.3% in the Reserve League, while Unión Santa Fe Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unión Santa Fe Res.

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

23.3%

Unión Santa Fe Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unión Santa Fe Res.DWLDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Colón Res.LLWLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Unión Santa Fe Res.Colón Res.
36.4Attack27.3
69.7Defence56.1
50.0Form30.3
53.8Power40.3
1.07xG0.43
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