GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 10/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unión Santa Fe Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Unión Santa Fe Res. 0-0 Banfield Res., with an exact score probability of 22%.

Prediction record

Final result

Unión Santa Fe Res. 5-0 Banfield Res.

Original prediction

Unión Santa Fe Res.

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7052.5%43.8%-8.7 pts
Draw3.3326.8%30.9%4.1 pts
Away4.3320.6%25.3%4.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.7 pts

Projected Score

Unión Santa Fe Res. 0–0 Banfield Res.

Exact score probability: 22%

Predicted outcome

Unión Santa Fe Res.

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Unión Santa Fe Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unión Santa Fe Res.LLWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Banfield Res.DLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Unión Santa Fe Res.Banfield Res.
40.2Attack27.6
66.7Defence59.8
48.3Form36.8
53.1Power43.9
1.07xG0.49
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