Uniao Mogivs
Maua
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 5/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Uniao Mogi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Maua are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Maua hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Paulista Série B, while Maua holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maua
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
10.5%
Maua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60