Uniao MogivsManthiqueira

Uniao Mogi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Manthiqueira are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Uniao Mogi hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Paulista Série B, while Uniao Mogi holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.