Uniao MogivsItaquá Athletico Clube

Uniao Mogi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Itaquá Athletico Clube are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Itaquá Athletico Clube hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 74.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Paulista Série B, while Itaquá Athletico Clube holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.