GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/10/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Star Starachowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Unia Tarnow are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Star Starachowice are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Star Starachowice hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Star Starachowice holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Star Starachowice

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Star Starachowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia TarnowLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/3.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Star StarachowiceWWWLL

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Unia TarnowStar Starachowice
25.5Attack22.2
0.0Defence22.2
7.8Form11.1
15.8Power23.1
1.06xG2.11
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