Unia Swarzędzvs
Victoria Września
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Unia Swarzędz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Unia Swarzędz 0-0 Victoria Września
Original prediction
Unia Swarzędz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.4% | 53.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.2% | 23.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.4% | 22.6% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Unia Swarzędz
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Unia Swarzędz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80