Unia Swarzędzvs
Kotwica Kórnik
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Unia Swarzędz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Unia Swarzędz 7-0 Kotwica Kórnik
Original prediction
Unia Swarzędz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 63.0% | 62.6% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.64 | 19.6% | 18.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.4% | 18.6% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Unia Swarzędz
Probability
62.6%
Model confidence
62.6%
Unia Swarzędz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40