GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/21/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Wisła Płock II are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

67.5%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceWWLLL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Wisła Płock IILWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/2.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Unia SkierniewiceWisła Płock II
76.5Attack52.9
54.9Defence43.1
63.7Form42.2
63.6Power47.6
2.98xG1.26
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