GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/23/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Wikielec are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

67.1%

Model confidence

67.1%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceWLLLW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WikielecDLWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Unia SkierniewiceWikielec
76.5Attack36.3
54.9Defence54.9
63.7Form42.2
63.6Power45.3
2.37xG0.86
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