GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/9/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceDWLDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Warta SieradzDLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Unia SkierniewiceWarta Sieradz
76.5Attack42.2
54.9Defence52.9
63.7Form43.1
63.6Power47.4
2.46xG1.01
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