GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/18/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Swit are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceDWWWW

GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
SwitWWWLD

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Unia SkierniewiceSwit
76.5Attack0.0
54.9Defence100.0
63.7Form33.3
63.6Power45.3
2.60xG1.16
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