GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/22/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Stomil Olsztyn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

71.3%

Model confidence

71.3%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceWLWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Stomil OlsztynWLLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Unia SkierniewiceStomil Olsztyn
76.5Attack43.1
54.9Defence45.1
63.7Form41.2
63.6Power45.4
2.89xG1.02
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