Unia Skierniewicevs
Stal Rzeszów
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Unia Skierniewice 0-1 Stal Rzeszów
Original prediction
Unia Skierniewice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.9% | 44.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.3% | 26.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.8% | 29.7% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Unia Skierniewice
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40