GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/17/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

73.2%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.DLWLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Unia SkierniewicePolonia Lidzbark Warm.
76.5Attack45.1
54.9Defence41.2
63.7Form40.2
63.6Power44.2
3.11xG1.07
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