Unia Skierniewicevs
Polonia Bytom
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 10/24/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polonia Bytom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Unia Skierniewice 1-2 Polonia Bytom
Original prediction
Polonia Bytom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.9% | 33.4% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 28.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.2% | 38.5% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
Polonia Bytom
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Polonia Bytom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40