GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/9/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceLLLWW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Pelikan ŁowiczLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewicePelikan Łowicz
76.5Attack51.0
54.9Defence60.8
63.7Form51.0
63.6Power53.7
2.02xG1.24
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