GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 4/26/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pelikan ŁowiczDLDWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Unia SkierniewicePelikan Łowicz
76.5Attack51.0
54.9Defence60.8
63.7Form51.0
63.6Power53.7
2.02xG1.24
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