GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/25/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Łomża are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 39.9-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

70.5%

Model confidence

70.5%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceLWWDW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ŁomżaLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewiceŁomża
76.5Attack66.7
54.9Defence0.0
63.7Form0.0
63.6Power23.7
3.08xG1.18
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