GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Olimpia Zambrów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

60.8%

Model confidence

60.8%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceDWWDW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Olimpia ZambrówWDDLL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Unia SkierniewiceOlimpia Zambrów
76.5Attack51.0
54.9Defence52.9
63.7Form39.2
63.6Power47.5
2.47xG1.22
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