Unia Skierniewicevs
Nieciecza
COMPLETEDPoland · I Liga · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nieciecza · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Unia Skierniewice 2-2 Nieciecza
Original prediction
Nieciecza
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.5% | 30.0% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.9% | 27.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.6% | 42.5% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Nieciecza
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Nieciecza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00