GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/18/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

70.0%

Model confidence

70.0%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mławianka MławaLDWLW

GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Unia SkierniewiceMławianka Mława
76.5Attack39.2
54.9Defence50.0
63.7Form38.2
63.6Power43.7
2.65xG0.93
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