GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/23/2024, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Legionovia Legionowo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

82.6%

Model confidence

82.6%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceLWDWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Legionovia LegionowoLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewiceLegionovia Legionowo
76.5Attack40.2
54.9Defence30.4
63.7Form26.5
63.6Power34.1
3.79xG0.92
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