GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/30/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

67.8%

Model confidence

67.8%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Jagiellonia IILLDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Unia SkierniewiceJagiellonia II
76.5Attack48.0
54.9Defence46.1
63.7Form44.1
63.6Power46.8
2.83xG1.15
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