GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/14/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Unia Skierniewice are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Concordia Elbląg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 39.2-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

88.7%

Model confidence

88.7%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Unia SkierniewiceWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Concordia ElblągWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewiceConcordia Elbląg
76.5Attack36.3
54.9Defence3.9
63.7Form29.4
63.6Power24.3
4.50xG0.82
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